COOPER is Silver Bulletin's innovative NCAA basketball rating system that evaluates teams based on outcomes, opponent strength, pace, and expert ratings for improved predictive accuracy.
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Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about. Click to read Silver Bulletin, a Substack publication with hundreds of thousands of subscribers.
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The post explores the Republican Party's internal conflict over foreign intervention, focusing on Trump's anti-war rhetoric and the implications of the Iran conflict on MAGA supporters.
The Texas Senate primary features a tight race between scandal-ridden Ken Paxton and incumbent John Cornyn, with implications for the general election.
The post ranks NBA teams by their championship potential over the next decade, emphasizing long-term success and the factors influencing team performance.
Florida Democrats are trapped in a 'death spiral' of electoral losses and declining voter registration, struggling to regain competitiveness in a state increasingly dominated by Republicans.
Kamala Harris's campaign struggles stem from her failure to clearly define her ideology, resulting in misconceptions about her being a centrist, akin to Liz Cheney's political challenges.
5.8War isn't what it once was
2026-03-02 • public opinion us politics middle east war iran
The post examines the changing nature of warfare and its implications for American public opinion and politics in light of recent U.S. airstrikes on Iran.
American democracy faces significant threats, yet its resilience and public mobilization for democratic values remain strong, as evidenced by recent protests and public opinion trends.
The Washington Post's decline in influence and subscriber loyalty is examined, revealing challenges stemming from its editorial choices and competition with the New York Times.
An analysis of NCAA March Madness predictions using updated COOPER ratings, highlighting Arizona as a favorite and discussing the impact of injuries on team performance.
The post presents the new COOPER ratings for women's NCAA basketball, detailing its methodology and showcasing current team rankings.
COOPER, a new NCAA basketball rating system, launches today, providing detailed ratings and forecasts for men's teams while preparing for women's ratings and tournament projections.
The post evaluates the electoral track records of potential 2028 Democratic candidates, emphasizing Ruben Gallego's success compared to Kamala Harris and discussing the challenges Republicans face in candidate selection.
A detailed Super Bowl LX preview comparing the Seahawks and Patriots, including betting odds, historical context, and insights from ELWAY's simulations.
The post analyzes the difficulties of selecting Republican candidates for the 2028 primary, focusing on JD Vance and Marco Rubio amidst Trump's influence.
James Talarico's victory in the Texas Democratic primary signals strong voter turnout, while the Republican race heads to a runoff, raising questions about electability and party dynamics.
The post examines the Pentagon's deal with OpenAI, its implications for AI development, and the evolving intersection of AI, politics, and ethics.
The Texas Democratic Senate primary between Jasmine Crockett and James Talarico is highly competitive, with fluctuating poll results and significant early voter turnout.
The post explores Gallup's cancellation of approval ratings and questions whether AI could threaten democracy, highlighting potential political motivations behind Gallup's decision.
The post argues that the anticipated political impacts of AI are underestimated, challenging the optimistic views of Silicon Valley leaders like Sam Altman regarding a 'gentle singularity.'
The post evaluates the early contenders for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, focusing on their political factions and potential strategies in a competitive landscape.
The shooting of ICU nurse Alex Pretti by ICE agents reflects a significant shift in public opinion against immigration enforcement under Trump, complicating his political standing.
The post analyzes women's NCAA March Madness predictions, emphasizing the dominance of top seeds and the statistical likelihood of outcomes compared to the men's tournament.
The post forecasts a sharp rise in U.S. gas prices due to the war in Iran, with potential political ramifications for Trump amid inflation concerns.