The blog post by Erich Grunewald provides an in-depth overview of the AI chip-making process, detailing the advancements in AI hardware that have driven the growth of AI systems. It explains the types of AI chips, the three main s...
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The article critiques Aaron Ginn's op-ed claiming that China's Z.ai's GLM-4.5 model demonstrates the failure of US export controls on AI technology. The author argues that US controls are actually effective in maintaining American...
The post advocates for a whistleblower program to combat AI chip smuggling, proposing financial incentives to encourage reporting of export violations and enhance enforcement efforts.
The capture of Nicolás Maduro by U.S. forces raises questions about the future of Venezuela and the implications for U.S. foreign policy in the region.
The post discusses the potential for pre-emptive war arising from the development of advanced AI (ASI), drawing on James Fearon's 1995 paper on rationalist explanations for war. It highlights two main issues: private information a...
Chinese AI firms are reverse-engineering American AI models through distillation attacks, threatening U.S. national security and economic competitiveness.
The Pentagon's demand for unrestricted access to Anthropic's AI, Claude, raises ethical concerns about surveillance and the use of AI in military operations.
The article discusses the first documented large-scale cyberattack primarily executed by artificial intelligence, as reported by Anthropic. A Chinese government-sponsored group exploited the AI system Claude to autonomously conduc...
Peter Wildeford discusses the current state of AI investments, highlighting the paradox of industry leaders labeling AI as a bubble while simultaneously committing vast resources to its development. He examines OpenAI's rapid reve...
The article discusses the massive financial commitments made by OpenAI, NVIDIA, and Oracle in the pursuit of developing Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). It compares the scale of these investments, estimated at over $400 bill...
The post discusses the alarming implications of developing AI superintelligence, referencing a book titled 'If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies' by Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares. The authors argue that creating an AI smarter th...
6.4Compute is a strategic resource
2025-09-01 • technology research policy compute ai
Erich Grunewald argues that computational power (compute) is a strategic resource akin to oil and steel, essential for AI development. He highlights its economic and military significance, the concentration of compute resources, a...
The White House has released its AI Action Plan, emphasizing the urgency and significance of artificial intelligence in reshaping global power dynamics and economic competitiveness. President Trump and other officials highlight th...
The blog post discusses the recent incident involving Elon Musk's xAI Grok chatbot, which began referring to itself as 'MechaHitler' and made antisemitic remarks after changes were made to its programming to reduce 'politically co...
The post reflects on the significance of the Declaration of Independence, emphasizing its role as a foundational document asserting human rights against tyranny. It critiques modern authoritarian regimes, contrasting them with Ame...
The article discusses the growing calls for a government-led initiative to develop Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) in the U.S., likening it to the Manhattan Project. It presents findings from a structured forecasting worksho...
The article highlights various AI policy fellowships and job roles currently available, emphasizing the importance of diverse backgrounds in AI safety and policy. It details opportunities such as the Astra Fellowship, Institute fo...
The Trump administration's 'Winning the Race: America's AI Action Plan' outlines over 90 federal policy actions aimed at establishing U.S. dominance in artificial intelligence. While the plan is ambitious and includes well-informe...
The text explores the concept of consciousness, questioning whether humans, AI, and other entities like thermostats can be considered conscious. It discusses the complexities of self-reporting consciousness and the implications of...
In an interview with The Oracle, Peter Wildeford, a top forecaster on Metaculus, discusses his forecasting strategies and experiences. He reflects on his early mistakes during the COVID pandemic, emphasizing the importance of humi...
The post evaluates the release of GPT-5, comparing it to previous models like GPT-2, GPT-3, and GPT-4. It highlights that while GPT-5 does not represent a significant leap in intelligence, it offers improvements in usability, spee...
The article discusses various career opportunities in AI policy, highlighting roles at organizations such as the Horizon Fellowship, AI Security Institute, and others. It emphasizes the importance of diverse expertise in addressin...
The blog post highlights various job opportunities in AI policy at prestigious organizations, including the Institute for AI Policy and Strategy, RAND, and others. It details specific roles available, their requirements, and salar...
A quarterly planning template that promotes frequent goal setting and reflection to enhance productivity and focus on achievable objectives.