The post critiques the West's National Security Strategy as a temporary measure to maintain hegemony rather than a genuine pursuit of peace in the Ukraine conflict.
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An industrial engineer and critical thinker exploring ecological economics, geopolitics, and engineering, writing anonymously to challenge societal dogmas.
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The post argues that modern society may have reached the limits of rationality, leading to a reliance on magical and mythic thinking amidst complex global challenges.
The post explores the severe implications of the oil crisis due to the Strait of Hormuz closure, predicting widespread shortages and economic turmoil globally.
The escalating US-Israeli conflict with Iran threatens global oil supply and economic stability, potentially leading to widespread shortages and a rapid decline of the US-led world order.
China's economic model, once a miracle, is now unsustainable, facing challenges akin to those of Western economies, including high debt and environmental degradation.
Silver's transition from a monetary metal to an industrial necessity highlights a looming supply crisis that could impact the economy and global politics.
Civilizations, akin to living organisms, face inevitable decline due to resource depletion and rising entropy, challenging current economic models and practices.
The surge in copper prices highlights an impending supply shortfall driven by rising demand from electrification and renewable energy, amidst dwindling resources and mining challenges.
Rising diesel prices indicate a looming crisis driven by refinery constraints and geopolitical tensions, threatening economic stability and consumption patterns.
The post argues that Western capitalism is in a zombie state, facing decline due to economic stagnation, resource depletion, and the rise of authoritarianism.
The Emirates' ambitious solar project highlights the challenges of relying on solar energy for continuous power, questioning its feasibility and economic viability in various regions.
The post argues that the current monetary system is unsustainable due to resource depletion and increasing debt, predicting an inevitable financial collapse and the need for a new economic framework.
The post argues that the belief in a return to coal as a reliable energy source is flawed, as coal use is peaking and declining globally due to economic and resource constraints.
The post argues that societal issues stem from a flawed mindset rooted in abstraction and commodification, necessitating a shift towards holistic thinking for survival.
A speculative exploration of humanity's future over ten thousand years, depicting a decline into a fragmented, resource-scarce world and a return to pre-industrial living.
The post warns that the global economy is precariously balanced, with rising production and stock markets masking underlying issues of declining demand and potential economic collapse.
The post examines the impending 'Empty Quarter' resulting from resource depletion and entropy, urging adaptation and sustainable practices for humanity's survival.
The post critiques the unsustainable trajectory of modern society, likening it to a 'Mordor Economy' driven by resource depletion and entropy, and suggests a return to nature may be the only solution.
2025 signifies a critical turning point in global economics, marked by resource depletion, rising energy costs, and the onset of a potential energy crisis leading into 2026.
5.5The Oil Import Curse
2025-11-16 • import energy geopolitics oil import/export
A significant decline in global oil supply by 2050 will severely impact oil-importing nations, including the US, leading to economic and geopolitical challenges.
The post discusses the unsustainable reliance on finite resources and presents two contrasting future scenarios for civilization: managed decline versus chaotic collapse.
Civilization is on the brink of collapse due to ecological overshoot and systemic unsustainability, necessitating a radical acceptance of our predicament.
The post argues that leaving industrial civilization could lead to healthier, longer lives through meaningful work and outdoor activities, despite the loss of modern comforts.
The author thanks subscribers for helping the blog reach 100 paid subscriptions and nearly 10,000 followers, urging continued support and engagement.